Conference Championships 2013

ROUND	QB	Opponent	MoV	QB Support	TAVA
CONF. CHAMP.	T. Brady	Broncos	-10	0.33	0.58
CONF. CHAMP.	P. Manning	Patriots	10	2.53	2.83
CONF. CHAMP.	C. Kaepernick	Seahawks	-6	2.38	-0.73
CONF. CHAMP.	R. Wilson	49ers	6	5.10	-0.45

NFC Championship Game, 49ers vs. Seahawks:

A lot of people may be tempted to blame Kaepernick for this loss. That would be a mistake. Sure, there was enough time left that maybe he didn’t need to throw that pass to Crabtree with Richard Sherman defending. Still, Kaepernick was the only reason the 49ers were still in the game. Colin Kaepernick had 283 total yards. The rest of the 49ers offense… 31. Ok, he had three turnovers. Fine. Without him making plays out of nothing, this game would have been a blowout. While Kaepernick accounted for 90 % of the 49ers offense, Wilson had to account for a much more reasonable 65 percent while committing his own costly turnover (inside his own 20). Wilson wasn’t bad per se, and he made some huge plays, like that 4^th Down 35 yard TD pass. Still, given the help he had (3 possessions starting in opposing territory, a 60 yard TD drive where he had to contribute only 4 yards), he could have done more to keep this game from being so close.

AFC Championship, Patriots vs. Broncos:

After providing Brady with a QB Support level of 5.62 against the Colts, the Patriots would give their QB significantly less support against the Broncos. Brady’s teammates would rush for only 57 yards, and the defense failed to generate a single turnover, leaving Brady with long fields all day. Brady missed some throws, but you can’t pin this loss on him. Manning, meanwhile, continued to put *some* of his playoff demons to rest, taking average support, milking the clock, putting up points, completing nearly 75 % of his passes, and punching Denver’s ticket to the Super Bowl.